Getting Started with Prediction Market Analytics
Signals are only useful if you can read them, act on them, and check whether they held up. Here's the full loop — from signal to execution to on-chain verification.
Vantex Learn·5 min read·Aug 7, 2026
73.4% 7d accuracy
14d rolling backtest
Stripe checkout · no crypto needed
01 — Signals
What a prediction market signal is
A signal is a data-driven alert that an edge may exist. Vantex produces three kinds:
OB Depth
Imbalance
Bid/ask imbalance or a wall in the order book that the model flags as price-relevant.
Venue Divergence
Δ cents
The same event priced differently on Polymarket and Kalshi, expressed as a per-event delta.
Path Solver
Multi-hop route
A route through complementary markets where combined payouts cover combined cost.
02 — The feed
Reading Vantex's feed
Signals arrive in a live feed with the key numbers in plain sight — the market, the type of signal, the prices involved, and the edge in cents.
FED·RATE·JUL venue divergence: PM $0.782 vs Kalshi $0.798 → Δ1.6¢
BTC·UP·5m OB imbalance flagged: bid wall $0.512 / ask $0.496 → Δ1.6¢
SOL·DOWN·5m graph solver: 3-hop path A→B→C found → +2.8¢ edge
Three things to check on every signal: the Δ in cents (how much edge the model sees), the markets involved, and the time — edges decay.
03 — Execution
Picking your execution — you decide
Vantex does not execute trades for you. Every signal is a data point; the decision — whether to trade, which venue, when to enter, when to exit — is yours.
- Divergence — buy the cheaper venue's side, or sell the richer side; timing and sizing are yours.
- Imbalance — use the wall as context for where price may hold or break.
- Paths — verify each hop's live price and liquidity before committing.
04 — Verification
Verification culture: on-chain audit and backtest
Vantex runs a rolling 14-day backtest replayed every 4 hours against L2 orderbook and settlement data. Parameters are hill-climbed against actual outcomes, and regressions roll back automatically.
Every signal is tracked to its on-chain result. Current 7-day accuracy: 73.4% — an audit trail you can verify, not a marketing number.
Backtest window14 days, replayed every 4h
Signal auditTracked to on-chain outcomes, 8 dimensions
7-day accuracy73.4%
05 — Sign up
Start using Vantex
No crypto wallet required. Checkout is by credit card via Stripe with a custom USD amount, and you sign in at vantextrading.xyz/login.
One note on venues: executing on Polymarket requires USDC; executing on Kalshi runs on fiat rails. Vantex itself sits on the analytics side of that line.
FAQ — Frequently asked questions
What is a prediction market signal?
A data-driven alert that an edge may exist — an imbalance, a divergence, or a path worth looking at.
Do I need crypto to use Vantex?
No. Vantex checkout is by credit card via Stripe. Executing on Polymarket needs USDC; executing on Kalshi uses fiat.
How do I read a divergence signal?
It shows the same event on both venues — for example, Polymarket $0.623 vs Kalshi $0.604, Δ1.9¢. You decide entry and timing.
How accurate are the signals?
73.4% 7-day accuracy, verified against on-chain outcomes, with a rolling 14-day backtest replayed every 4 hours.
Is this financial advice?
No. Signals are data; execution decisions are yours.
How do I sign up?
Sign In at
vantextrading.xyz/login. Checkout is by credit card via Stripe with a custom USD amount.
Ready to trade?
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